It’s the Championship play off final on Monday between Aston Villa and Derby. Ahead of the action William Hill are kicking off with their Golden Goal offer which is too good to refuse! All we have to do is place a bet on either Aston Villa or Derby to win and if our selection scores first but doesn’t win William Hill will pay us out as winner! This means a potential profit of £85.83!
Terms of the offer
- Qualifying bet must be placed on the 90 minutes market for Aston Villa vs Derby
- Qualifying bet must be placed before kick off (15.00) on Monday 27th May 2019.
- Maximum winnings £50.00 plus qualifying stake.
Qualifying Bet and Strategy
For this offer we will be placing a simple qualifying bet. At the time of writing this guide Aston Villa were available at odds of 2.20/2.30.
To calculate our optimal stake for this offer we need to divide the winnings of £50.00 by our back odds – 1. For the odds of 2.20 our calculation should look like this: £50.00 – 1.2 = £41.66. We should round this figure up or down as to not look like we are solely betting the minimum or maximum for the offer so we shall be using a £40.00 stake.
We can enter our details for the qualifying bet on the Matched Betting Calculator as follows: Stake £40.00, Aston Villa back odds 2.20, Aston Villa lay odds 2.30, lay commission 2%.
Adjust Lay
| Bookmaker | Exchange | Cashback | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| If Back Wins | ||||
| If Lay Wins |
As you can see the calculator tells us to lay £38.60 on Aston Villa.
Our potential profit/loss for this offer breaks down as the following:
| Outcome | William Hill | Exchange | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team 1 don’t score first and win | +£48.00 | -£50.18 | -£2.18 |
| Team 1 don’t score first and lose | -£40 | +£37.83 | -£2.17 |
| Team 1 score first and win | +£48.00 | -£50.18 | -£2.18 |
| Team 1 score first and lose or draw | +£48.00 | +37.83 | +£85.83 |
What happens next?
As you can see by the table above, if Aston Villa score first but draw or lose the game our bet will still be paid out as a winner. We’ll receive our £48.00 in winnings plus our original qualifying stake of £40.00. We’ll also win £37.82 at the exchange meaning a total profit of £85.83!
If any of the other outcomes occur we stand to lose £2.18. We can however use alternative methods to make a profit if Aston Villa score first and win, check out the Golden Goal Guide for more information.
Leave A Comment